Wednesday, February 6, 2008

Superdelegates: So Much For Change

If the Democratic nomination is decided in Hillary's favor by superdelegates... this corner of the blogosphere will be spewing firey wrath, and my guess is a lot of other people will be, too.

Please note that pledged delegates have Barack and Hillary neck to neck: as of 8:15 am EST, 632 -626. She's ahead, but not significantly closer to the necessary 2,025 to win the nomination.

Her almost 100 total delegate lead comes from unpledged delegates, the party members who vote in the nominating convention who are not beholden to represent the popular vote.

EXCITING UPDATE!: OBAMA HAD TAKEN THE LEAD IN PLEDGED DELEGATES: 603-590! This as of almost 10 am Wednesday. Not sure where those delegates went for both of them, but my source is still the election center at CNN. So, now the unpledged delegate distribution is even deeper. If Barack gets the majority of popular-vote delegates, but fails to have the total delegate majority because of the unpledged guys (superdelegates), we're going to be hearing a lot more about the fine print of the nomination process... and then expressing outrage at it.

Here, Matt Bai for the Times Magazine explains the little understood role of the unpledged delegates, who make up one fifth of the total votes at the nominating convention. He writes, "If there isn't a clear Democratic winner on Tuesday, the decision may fall into the hands of so-called superdelegates. So much for change."

If Clinton wins the nomination because she has more clout with the Democrats already in the system, she will demonstrates what "experience" actually means: pull with the keepers of the gate.

1 comment:

CDH said...

Actually, Hillary hasn't led in pledged delegates since Super Tuesday at the latest. It's only with "super delegates" included that she has ever actually led by more than a vote or two. As far as my research has turned up, he's led in pledged delegates since S. Carolina (though there are, obviously, many ways to "view" the totals)